Use of prior knowledge to inform restoration projects in estuaries of GOM
Kirsten Dorans, Marcus Beck, Jessica Renee Henkel, Patricia Varela, Ed Sherwood, Kathryn Ireland
July 28, 2017
Deepwater Horizon Settlement Agreement
Over $10B in Potential Restoration Activities
Cumulative Effects of Restoration Activities?

- Vision to make it portable
- Why Bayesian networks
Benefits
- A general and flexible framework that can be applied to unique locations and is not limited by data availability
- Explicit quantification of uncertainty and model updates with new data
- More focused restoration towards specific regional issues
- Improved ability to predict outcomes of proposed restoration projects
Tampa Bay is not as gross
Tampa Bay is not as gross
But how much less gross??
But how much less gross??
Ed
Workflow
Kirsten/Katie
- Model diagram
- Merging restoration diagram
Marcus
- Merging wq/restoration data
- Merging with BN
Bayesian Network
Patricia
- Specifics of BN
- Outcomes/interpretation/applications